This
post RESUMES the topic.
The eBA basketball Statistics Creative Analysis System tries to compare
team success to individual performance, applying reasonably simple methods.
If we want to apply the Plus / Minus Ratings to suggest how a certain sequence of players
would perform on the floor against an average opponent, we must determine the sum of each
of the five players. We must perform the total sum of all of them and no average them. So
the team's average plus / minus needs an adjustment be added, which is explained at the eBA
System.
We must take into account, using the Plus / Minus Ratings that the overall debate about
this rate has dismissed the effect of opponent strength because + / - rate doesn't measure player
combinations for the opponents. On the other hand, there is no way to recognize
between players who have good individual but bad team numbers, opposed to players with bad
individual statistics but good + / - ratings.
The suggestion about giving on-court and off-court numbers different weights doesn't resolve this
rates problems, because it would give us a rate too contingent on the overall grade of
excellence worth of the player's team and in most cases this will have a very minor
effect.
So, the real method for efficient results is to refrain from applying the Plus / Minus
Ratings exclusively, without any other method being involved, as a possession based
method, for example.
As said, resuming, the Plus / Minus rating determines the
dimension of the statistical norm difference in team accomplishment when a player is
on the court opposed to when he is not. We must concede the validity of the difference in quality of the players that a given
player plays with and against, when he is on and off the court. Only when they are the
same, or almost the same, the Plus / Minus Ratings will determine the dimension of that
given player effect on team's winning percentage compared to that team's
average.
Jean Louis Trezeguet - ebastats - the basketball statistics forum
This post
resumes this topic and will be completed at the "Statistics" chapter of the eBA basketball
Statistics Analysis System. Another basketball statistics topics
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