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Special EFFICIENCY VALUES for Playoffs

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Uploaded:
24/02/06

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Author Topic: * Special efficiency values for Playoffs
martin_wall

Newbie
*
Posts: 1


Special efficiency values for Playoffs



Does the eBA System have a specific method or basic efficiency equation in terms of scoring or Points per Possession for the Playoffs time ?




I think the value of possession changes in the playoffs from the instance most players tend to do worse than their regular season production/efficiency.
But: how can you tell how efficient or effective a player is at scoring or at scoring per possession if you do not know the value of possession to factor in with free throws ?

d_telmes

eBA Stats Team
Full Member
*****
Posts: 20



Special efficiency values for Playoffs


Rates or efficiencies should be calculated for each series, and weighted differently as the playoff round progress. An equation must be based on the players who are analyzed against the opposition and are only considered in the context of that one series.




 Smiley   Deborah Telmes - eBA Stats Team - Analisis de las Estadisticas del Baloncesto

sebast

eBA Stats Team
Jr. Member
*****
Posts: 19



Special efficiency values for Playoffs



Which is the real question:
- we are trying to compare the playoffs numbers with the regular season numbers ...
- we are trying to analyze the effect of playing the same opponent for many consecutive games ... or
- we are trying to analyze points per possession ?
 
After the regular season, playoffs time, the fatigue have an effect upon shooting more than any other stat and effective shooting % moves downward and lower. The best players on both teams play more minutes and marginal players disappear in essence  either in effectiveness or actual court appearance.
A determinate playoffs series may have differences with the regular season or from series to series, no not differences at all. Two determinate high-scoring teams may give an enlarged production at all the statistics categories, but the possession value does not have direct relation with any "playoffs conversion" rate.

It is possible to apply during the playoff the following experimental formula:

                                                          Total Points
Shooting Efficiency=   --------------------------------------------
                                         { FGA + ( ( FTA + Bonus FTA ) / 2 }


Rates or efficiencies should be calculated for each series, and weighted differently as the playoff round progress. An equation must be based on the players who are analyzed against the opposition and are only considered in the context of that one series.

Resuming this topic and according to eBA archives of 10 past years in the playoffs series, for the finals players tend to do worse than their regular season production/efficiency and rates tend to be around 91.4 % of what they were in the regular season, with conversion rates of 98%, 96%, 94% and 92% which could be alternatively applied for each of 4 rounds of playoffs.

 Smiley   Mario Sebastiani -   ebastats - the Basketball statistics forum


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