This post RESUMES the topic
We can define the
best passing team to be the team that can best make the difficult passes that produce
points. By means of the assist percentage - the percentage of a team's field goals that were
assisted on the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System tells us more about a team's
style than their substance. Another obvious element is that this metric is somewhat
dependent on how often a team made three-pointers, because the circumstantial numerical
evidence that so many three-pointers are assisted.
It is not surprising at all that three-pointers tend to get more assists, having a portion
of two-pointers which are "un-assistable", the result of put-backs and tip-ins,
while few threes are shot off of the dribble. Another evidence in our assist analysis maybe
a good shooting team that doesn't score often on put-backs, so there were more two-point
assist opportunities.
The eBA
Basketball Statistics Analysis System, is able to give two assists - like in hockey -
on one play. Many times, a point guard gives a great pass, and another player makes a pass
that leads to the basket. The first pass gets a credit, because it can be more important
than the second pass. On the other hand, a great pass that leads to the shooter being
fouled is credited as an assist.
In the case of free throws, eBA System register the assist if the fouled player
makes both (or the
three) throws or one of them. But in this case, in our rate we give the assist a
qualification of one point for each free throw made.
The eBA System
registers the following stats about Assists, in addition to the Made and Received ones:
Assists in the paint, Assists outside of paint, within each, assists leading to
jump shots,
assists leading to lay-ups, assists leading to
foul shots,
and within each of these, are they part of
fast break
or not.
Before a number of proposal about the assists formulas,
it is a good moment to review one of the Staticians Manual with respect
to what an assist means:
A player is credited with an assist
when the player makes, in the judgment of the statistician, the principal pass
contributing directly to a field goal (or an awarded score of two or three points).
Only one assist is to be credited on any field goal and only when the pass was a major
part of the play. Such a pass should be either: a.- a pass that finds a player
free after he or she has maneuvered without the ball for a positional advantage,
or: b.- a pass that gives the receiving player a positional advantage,
he or she otherwise would not have had.
Philosophy. An assist should be more than a routine pass that just happens to be
followed by a field goal. It should be a conscious effort to find the open
player or to help a player work free. There should not be a limit on the number
of dribbles by the receiver. It is not even necessary that the assist be given
on the last pass. There is no restraint on the distance or type of shot made, for
these are not the crucial factors in determining whether an assist
should be credited. [NCAA Basketball Statisticians' Manual, 2005]
1st. Assists Rating Proposal: Assume that the average team gets assists on 80% of its
successful threes and 47% on its twos. For each team you can compute their expected
assists:
.8 x successful threes + .47 x successful twos
Then compare this number to their actual assists.
2nd. Assists Rating Proposal: Its a good way to identify good passers and bad ones.
If we have two players with identical assist/turnover ratios but one of them has twice as
many assists and turnovers, that player is still the better passer/ballhandler. So:
multiply assist/turnover ratio times assist rate (assists/minute), and then multiply by
ten to give a more easily understood final number.
This summary
resumes this topic and will be completed at the "Assists" chapter of the eBA Basketball
Statistics Analysis System. Another Basketball stats topics
you'll find at
the Basketball
Stats Discussions section of our eBA
Stats.com site.
Jean Louis Trezeguet - eBA Stats Team - The Basketball Statistics Analysis