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Statistical Analysis

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Uploaded: 17/12/02
Updated: 19/08/07

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Basketball, on the opposite of the individual Baseball, is a game of 5 on 5. To get people open shots will almost always involve the coordinated actions of several players, sometimes all 5. Defense, even more so, is played by all 5 players as a unit. Because of these effects, there is much more potential for intangibles, things which don't show up on the stat sheet, to effect a game. A guy setting a really good pick isn't recorded, nor is the ability to rotate over on defense.

This is the first of a serial of articles about statistical analysis and its formulas: this one about Possessions. Assists, Rebounding, Steals and Turnovers and the "all-together" conclusions, will come on.



Measuring players

by Jean Louis Trezeguet, Belgium - December 17, 2002

The central objective of Basketball analysis is to try to find a way to measure the value of individual players. The form that this usually takes is to look at each statistic, and assign them particular values. If a player scores 20 points, that’s worth so much. Each assist is worth so much, etc. And at the end, you add up all the numbers to get a value.

Meanwhile, in any case, we are going to analyze team values, for a few reasons. First, because the game is played at a team level. It doesn’t really matter how any individual player does—results are determined by how the team does. Second, it’s hard to tell how important someone’s assists were, without looking at how the rest of the team performed. By looking at the team level first, those effects are automatically factored in. And lastly, they’re easily available online and provide large enough samples to be statistically significant.

Possessions

The most necessary statistic for any additional analysis, is the number of possessions a team gets in a game. Points scored doesn’t tell the whole story, because different styles of play will lead to different numbers of possessions. If a team play slow-down ball, almost running the shot clock to zero each possession, then there will be fewer total possessions in the game. Essentially, this shortens the game, since the real length of the game in practical terms is how many possessions each team gets.

A basic misconception...

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Related Source



Special Situations:
Making the Most of Limited Possessions

The Art & Science of Coaching By: Bob Huggins

Special Situations: Making the Most of Limited Possessions: The Art & Science of Coaching. "The successful coach will see to it that his team is well drilled and prepared for the special situations that occur throughout the game..."

  moreThe Last Season: A Team in Search of Its Soulinfo

To Be Continued with "Analyzing ASSISTS"
and Updated at the eBA Stats System - The Project.

All the terminology is analyzed at the Global Basketball Encyclopedia




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