Pro Basketball Forecast: 2005-06 (Pro Basketball Prospectus) 
By John Hollinger
The roundball revolution continues, and John Hollinger is El Jefe. With
the Pro Basketball Forecast™, Hollinger takes an in-depth and insightful look at the
game. Downplayed are all the per-game statistics; in their place are points, rebounds, and
assists per forty minutes. Hollinger also examines how many possessions each player uses
and what percentage of his team’s rebounds he collects. Why? Because teams use
players in different ways, and comparing everyone on an even scale makes much more sense.
When is a player averaging ten points a game more valuable than one
averaging fifteen? How about if he plays twenty minutes to the latter’s forty and
plays for a team that walks the ball up the court instead of fast-breaking? If he’s
given a starting position or traded to a new team, he could "unexpectedly" break
out—unexpected to everyone but Forecast™ readers, that is. Hollinger shows you
which players, given more time or a fresh start, can ratchet their game up to all-star
levels. He also shows which ones are scoring more than their backups solely because of
proportion of time and should find themselves on the bench more this year.
On top of all this, Hollinger also continues to improve his
groundbreaking method of valuing a player’s personal defense and sharpens his
projections for regulars, offering predictions for the forthcoming season. Hollinger adds
his thoughts on every team—where they’ve been and where they’re
going—as well as a discussion of every player and draft pick. You may watch hoops,
but you haven’t seen everything until you’ve seen the Forecast™.
About the Author
JOHN HOLLINGER authored the 2002–03 and 2003–04 editions of the Pro Basketball
Prospectus. He also writes columns on Basketball for SI.com, the New York Sun, and
Basketball Digest. Since 1996, he’s spearheaded a more analytical approach to pro
Basketball from his Web site, Alleyoop.com. Hollinger lives in Atlanta, USA.
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