31/10/06 - The roundball revolution continues, and
John Hollinger is El Jefe. With the Pro Basketball Forecast™, Hollinger takes an
in-depth and insightful look at the game. Downplayed are all the per-game statistics; in
their place are points, rebounds, and assists per forty minutes. Hollinger also examines
how many possessions each player uses and what percentage of his team’s rebounds he
collects. Why? Because teams use players in different ways, and comparing everyone on an
even scale makes much more sense.
When is a player averaging ten points a game more valuable than one
averaging fifteen? How about if he plays twenty minutes to the latter’s forty and
plays for a team that walks the ball up the court instead of fast-breaking? If he’s
given a starting position or traded to a new team, he could "unexpectedly" break
out—unexpected to everyone but Forecast™ readers, that is. Hollinger shows you
which players, given more time or a fresh start, can ratchet their game up to all-star
levels. He also shows which ones are scoring more than their backups solely because of
proportion of time and should find themselves on the bench more this year.
On top of all this, Hollinger also continues to improve his
groundbreaking method of valuing a player’s personal defense and sharpens his
projections for regulars, offering predictions for the forthcoming season. Hollinger adds
his thoughts on every team—where they’ve been and where they’re
going—as well as a discussion of every player and draft pick. You may watch hoops,
but you haven’t seen everything until you’ve seen the Forecast™. About the Author
JOHN HOLLINGER authored the 2002–03 and 2003–04 editions of the Pro Basketball
Prospectus. He also writes columns on Basketball for SI.com, the New York Sun, and
Basketball Digest. Since 1996, he’s spearheaded a more analytical approach to pro
Basketball from his Web site, Alleyoop.com. Hollinger lives in Atlanta, USA.
30/10/06 - Defensive Rebound Efficiency
Talking about turnovers, for example, you might hear someone say, "Our team
perpetrated 18 turnovers. That's not very good." It might not be, but you'd have to
know more about the way the game was played to reach that conclusion. 18 turnovers against
a slow-down team would be awful. 18 turnovers against a quick-pace squad would be
accomplishable.
There's a stat called 'defensive rebound efficiency' that is used
in the eBA System ( go to the eBA System ) -- it measures the
amount of defensive rebounds taken down from missed shots. There's a similar idea we
apply
in eBA as 'offensive rebound efficiency', which simply
measures the amount of available offensive rebounds that a team gather. One area where
that stat breaks down, however, is that it's hard to take free throws into account just by
looking at the box score because there's no way to know which missed shots could result in
an offensive rebound.
Therefore, when the eBA System register the equations with the "trips to
the line", this problem is solved.
OUR TRIBUTE - October 28, 2006 - Arnold "Red"
Auerbach, the coach of eight consecutive Boston Celtic NBA Champions and Naismith Memorial
Basketball Hall of Fame Class of 1969 member passed away at the age of 89 in Washington
D.C., USA
This is a tribute made in honor of the greatest Basketball coach in NBA
history, Red Auerbach, who passed away today at age 89. This has video clips of Red,
pictures, and video interview responses about Red from Tommy Heinsohn, Bob Cousy, and John
Havlicek.
24/10/06 - Don't Sign Up eBA Stats if you don't
read this thread...... !: We apologize for the delay of the answer to your sign up
request....
Read again this thread at the
Forum from the beginning !
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or an eBA
Courses & Clinics participant, and will need to supply a real and
valid e-Mail Address.
Photograph: Basketball News
Today the EUROLEAGUE is Opening...
Tribute to the Actual Champions: CSKA MOSCOW !
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Do you joined us prior to 2006 ? Register problems ? Contact Us !
23/10/06 - The Most Useful Statistics: what
stats
do you in the eBA and in this
forum consider to be the best indicators of success ?
1st. - Field goal percentage and defensive field goal
percentage;
2nd. - A Shooting 50% or Better;
3rd. - How many possessions get the posts players;
4th. - 2:1 Assist / Turnover Ratio;
5th. - More FTM than Opponents FTA;
6th. - Our OR in a 50% of our missed shots;
7th. - Force 2 Opponents Turnovers for each one we commit;
8th. - Steals must exceed turnovers: means a defensive minded team;
9th. - Force Opponents to a 40% or less Field Goal %;
10th. - Contest 90% Opponents total field goals attempts;
11th. - Outrebound your opponent: 40+ rebounds a game means control of the boards;
12th. - ... and one more point made at least than our opponents did...!
Admiral Farragut boys Basketball coach Mike Wells, who won a state title during the
2003-04 season, had surgery one month ago to remove a malignant brain tumor.
Wells returned home Sept. 23 and is undergoing radiation treatments. He will not be able
to coach this season. Coach Michael Wells is the Head Editor of the Basketball
Coaching @ Yahoo Groups Basketball Coaching e-mail discussion group, a
Recommended Site by eBA-Stats.com.
Coach Wells is in the prayers of everybody in the eBA Stats Team and we
want to wish him the best of luck. We are sure that Coach Wells's
positive attitude thoughts will lead him to good health and put him back on the bench and
in front of his site again. Coach Wells ! Good Luck ! In our Spanish: Buena Suerte !
19/10/06 - The Fallacies of eFG%: "First what is
eFG% ?: In laymen terms, it's a shooting statistic that takes into account 3 point shots
by counting them as 1.5 field goals. So for example if Kobe Bryant shoots 4 of 12 from the
field, all 3 point shots, his FG% is 33% and his eFG% is 50%. And if Elton Brand makes 6
of 12 shots, his FG% and eFG% are 50%. Both players score 12 points in this scenario.
The formula looks like this: eFG% =
(FGM + .5 * 3PM ) / FGA
eFG% is useful for showing a player's shooting efficiency. Both Bryant and Brand use 12
shots to net 12 points and by this method, Bryant is not penalized for attempting the more
difficult 3-pointers.
"...So what’s wrong with eFG% ?
eFG% fails to recognize the impact of successes and failures. In the example above, Bryant
failed 8 times by missing 8 shots while Brand only failed 6 times.
Hence, Bryant's 50% eFG is not equal to Brand's 50% eFG and if given the choice between
the two, I would always choose the latter unless I was the opposing coach.
Why make the distinction when both players scored 12 points on 12 attempts ?
Because, during the game, succeeding is more valuable than failing and missing shots is
detrimental on many levels.
1. Missed shots kill team momentum. Basketball is a game of runs and nothing ends a run
quicker than sending one off the side of the rim. Conversely, swishing one through the net
only adds to momentum, rhythm, and player confidence.
2. Missed shots lessen crowd enthusiasm. How many times have we seen crowd excitement grow
with each successive basket only to be deflated by a failed attempt? Countless by my
observation.
3. Missed shots often result in over-the-back fouls (on the bigs) or reaching fouls (by
the disappointed shooter).
4. Missed shots are a success to the defensive team and a victory to the defensive player
(hardly feelings you want your opponent to enjoy).
5. Missed shots are a golden opportunity for the defensive team to fast break, thereby,
creating easy baskets and the ever-frustrating ‘touch’ fouls.
Imagine missing 8 out of 12 shots against the Phoenix Suns, who look to run on every
occasion. Basketball minds know the very best time to initiate a fast break is on missed
shots and steals. And, given the explosive nature of the Suns, providing them with eight
potential opportunities is dangerous and counterproductive.
Conversely, making a basket allows your defense time to re-set and prepare for the next
possession not to mention all the other intangibles that come from successful attempts.
Because eFG% ignores this impact of missing shots, it should not replace the tradition FG%
measurement. Many Basketball forums, however, blindly quote eFG% as the end all shooting
statistic. And while I certainly see its value, I cannot understate the importance of
makes versus misses and success versus failure during the course of a Basketball
game......." Posted by Tony Benedetti. Opinion Encountered at Basketball IQ
17/10/06 - From the very beginning of our site, on December
1998, first days of Google's Dance, we realized that the links and reference section is
among the most important and popular parts of the site, and, because of this, we will
constantly be trying to improve it. With a limited quantity of sections in the first
editions, now you can browse the 12 sections and 40 categories listed there, or, if you're
having trouble finding something, try the Google Search form at each page.
We are also in the process of gradually merging our links section with the reference
section, so that you can find everything you're looking for in one place. The best and
exceptional sites of the Web are being framed and highlighted as Recommended by eBA
Stats. The Google
Popularity Page Rank is offered by eBA Stats.com at each link to easily know PageRank™ the pages you
want to visit. Another section of good sites are bolded an underlined, meanwhile the rest
of the sites, the old or not updated ones, are being deleted or are included as
"Another Sites", the entrance there is under your
responsibility. The broken
links are processed at the bottom of each links page, waiting for someone to tell us the
new web address.
This is the reason because the eBA Links Section gave place to the updated Web Sites eBA Guide
at your service.
15/10/06: Basketball on Paper: Rules and Tools for Performance Analysis By: Dean Oliver
Journey "inside the numbers" for an exceptional set of statistical tools and
rules that can help explain the winning-or losing-ways of a Basketball team. Basketball on
Paper doesn’t diagram plays or explain how players get in shape, but instead
demonstrates how to interpret player and team performance.
Dean Oliver highlights general strategies for teams when they’re winning or losing,
and what aspects should be the focus in either situation. He describes and quantifies the
jobs of team leaders and role players, then discusses the interactions between players and
how to achieve the best fit. Oliver conceptualizes the meaning of teamwork and how to
quantify the value of different types of players working together. He examines
historically successful NBA teams and identifies what made them so successful individual
talent, a system of putting players together, or good coaching.
Oliver then uses these statistical tools and case studies to evaluate the best players in
history - such as Magic Johnson, Wilt Chamberlain, Bill Russell, and Charles Barkley - and how
they contributed to their teams’ success. He does the same for some of the NBA’s
"oddball" players - Manute Bol, Muggsy Bogues, and Dennis Rodman - and for the
WNBA’s top players.
Basketball on Paper is unique in its incorporation of business and analytical concepts
within the context of Basketball to measure the value of players in a cooperative setting.
Whether you’re looking for strategies or new ideas to throw out while watching the
ballgame at a sports bar, Dean Oliver’s Basketball on Paper will give you amazing new
insights into teamwork, coaching, and success.
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Admiral Farragut boys Basketball coach Mike Wells, who won a state title during the
2003-04 season, had surgery one month ago to remove a malignant brain tumor. 
